Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.054856 0.059454 0.064103 0.069150 0.074465 0.079890 0.085839
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.047998 0.054835 0.061993 0.070017 0.078735 0.087891 0.098211
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.042918 0.051428 0.060617 0.071212 0.083026 0.095734 0.110375
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.040327 0.050377 0.061520 0.074674 0.089660 0.106091 0.125353
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.034936 0.045642 0.057851 0.072621 0.089821 0.109042 0.131966
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.031202 0.042490 0.055700 0.072034 0.091423 0.113449 0.140105
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.028146 0.039879 0.053949 0.071703 0.093147 0.117871 0.148181
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.026861 0.039328 0.054579 0.074137 0.098091 0.126027 0.160618
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.025174 0.038116 0.054272 0.075331 0.101474 0.132308 0.170857
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.023571 0.036885 0.053833 0.076270 0.104482 0.138108 0.180523
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.021540 0.034932 0.052342 0.075772 0.105629 0.141602 0.187394
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.020361 0.034054 0.052176 0.076903 0.108765 0.147497 0.197168
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.018587 0.032265 0.050760 0.076409 0.109890 0.151008 0.204190
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.017268 0.031039 0.050033 0.076768 0.112074 0.155832 0.212858
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.016269 0.030208 0.049791 0.077728 0.115010 0.161595 0.222711
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.016175 0.030723 0.051424 0.081229 0.121289 0.171621 0.237949
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.014294 0.028371 0.048893 0.078960 0.119912 0.171892 0.240959
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.013050 0.026921 0.047574 0.078287 0.120589 0.174742 0.247190
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.011991 0.025690 0.046509 0.077908 0.121616 0.178015 0.253948
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011787 0.025859 0.047519 0.080472 0.126636 0.186494 0.267392
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011263 0.025448 0.047625 0.081726 0.129872 0.192661 0.277911
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010709 0.024945 0.047562 0.082715 0.132736 0.198350 0.287843
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009840 0.023823 0.046488 0.082186 0.133470 0.201218 0.294130